Almost Varsity Sports Hot Soup Picks: Week 11

The first bad week of the year is in our rear view mirror and we’re going to leave it there. We have some absolute winner here.

Vanderbilt @ Missouri Under 54

Who is going to score in this game? Both offenses are bad and the Vanderbilt defense is very, very good. Missouri has just about packed it in and Vanderbilt is clinging to the hope of playing in a bowl game. Vandy has only given up 20+ points to one power five opponent. Vanderbilt hasn’t score more than 17 against any power five opponent either. There is no possible way I can see this game going over 54 points. This is the lock of the year thus far and we’re making a new play to facilitate it

The pick: Under 54 (5 units)

1H Pittsburgh @ Clemson (-12)
Dabo Swinney came out this week and announced the Clemson Tigers would be honoring four juniors who intend on declaring for the NFL draft, including Deshaun Watson. This crowd will be raucous and this team will be jumping to send Deshaun off right. The coaching staff is going to look to grow those career stat lines and showcase Deshaun for the draft the rest of the way.

The pick: Clemson (-12) (2.5 units)

Tulsa @ Navy (-3)

The key here is simple. Tulsa was a 6-6 team that has turned their program around to possibly play for the AAC title. The winner of this game will most likely win the AAC. Tulsa will be able to air it out and Navy won’t be able to stop it. Take the points and even play the moneyline.

The pick: Tulsa (+3) (1.5 Units)

Air Force (-6) @ Colorado State

Air Force travels to Colorado State to take on a Rams team trying to become bowl eligible. However, Air Force has righted the ship after three straight conference losses. The offense has begun to click and I’m expecting this team to put up at least 30 points. Last year, the Rams beat AF and I see the Falcons out for a bit of revenge.

The pick: Air Force (-6) (1.5 Units)

Wake Forest @ Louisville (-35)

Wake Forest has only allowed more than 27 points once. This Wake Forest team is the team no one is talking about. They have begun to turn around this program. Wake doesn’t have the offensive firepower to keep up with Louisville and the coaching staff knows that. They will slow the game down and try to control the ball as much as possible. Louisville has been shaky in some games they should handle easily. After squeaking out a win vs Notre Dame, they blew out NC State. The following week they slept walk through UVA and then blew out BC after. I see Louisville not being able to get up for this game as 35 point favorites and they will let Wake hang around a little too long. I will gladly take the 35 points, and I’m extremely comfortable with it.

The pick: Wake Forest (+35) (3 Units)

The leans:
Oklahoma (-17.5) – Baylor is a wreck right now and Oklahoma has a longshot chance at a playoff birth by winning the Big 12
Texas (-2) – WVU is very good, but Texas is a different beast when playing at home. Expect Foreman to run wild and keep his Heisman hopes alive
Purdue/Northwestern (Under 57.5) – NW has a capable defense and Purdue is horrific on both sides of the ball. Can’t see points scored here
Vanderbilt (+3.5) – Missouri isn’t good enough to be favored against anyone in the power 5 conferences.
Southern Miss (+3) – This is completely contingent on Nick Mullens playing. Absolutely no one knows anything about his status. If you can find out he’s in, take the Golden Eagles
Houston (-25) – Greg Ward has been battling injuries all year to his shoulder. He had a week off and this Houston team is looking to show they aren’t the aberration people think they are. Tulane stinks too.
Minnesota (ML) – I have a strange feeling Minnesota is going to go into Nebraska and win this outright. Believe it or not, they still control their own destiny in the Big 10
San Diego State (-13 1H) – love Donnell Pumphrey He’ll run all over a bad Nevada team.

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