Another positive week last week and we’re rolling along. Don’t get on the tracks when the money train’s coming through. HOT SOUP!
For our picks history on the year check it out here
1h San Diego State (-10) @ Fresno State
The Aztecs RB Donnell Pumphrey has 891 yards and 9 touchdowns through 5 games this year. He is one of the best players in the country that no one talks about. Aginst an upstart Cal team, Pomphrey put up 281 yards and 3 touchdowns alone. QB Christian Chapman has a 4:1 TD:INT ratio and does plenty to facilitate running lanes for Pomphrey. Expect Donnell to run wild on a bad Fresno State team.
The best new comes when you look at how bad the Bulldogs are. 119th in PPG, 206th in RYA, and 191st in PPGA. Against a 2-4 UNLV team, the Bulldogs gave up over 300 yards on the ground. I don’t expect this team to pull away in the second because they run the ball so much, but expect a comfortable first half lead.
The pick: San Diego State 1H (-10) (4 Units)
Ole Miss (-7.5) @ Arkansas
Chad Kelly has some baggage. This is the chance to get everyone to stop talking about his BS off the field and talk about how good this Rebels team is. I believe this team is a top 10 team in the country. Here at Almost Varsity Sports we also this Arkansas is one of the most overrated teams in the country; year in and year out. Expect the fireworks of Chad Kelly and the Rebels offense to be too much for the rushing attack of Arkansas to keep up with. I believe Ole Miss will win this one by two touchdowns. If this line was at 7 or under it would be a 3 unit play.
The pick: Ole Miss -7.5 (2 Units)
Clemson @ NC State (Total 61)
This Clemson team is finally clicking on offense. They dropped 52 on a top 5 defense in the nation when they visited BC last week. Deshaun Watson is finally looking comfortable and under control in the pocket. The rapport with the WRs is through the roof. What locks down this bet is this Clemson defense. After losing a lot of talent last year, this defense looks unbelievable. NC State no longer has Jacoby Brissett and this offense isn’t as good as you think. NC State beat Wake Forest, Old Dominion, and ND on a sloppy field. Not exactly the best resume for a team that still controls their own destiny. Expect the Tigers to score early and often, but to start pulling those starters early and get ready for FSU in two weeks.
The pick: Under 61 Points (2.5 Units)
MIssouri @ Florida (Total 49)
Luke Del Rio is back under center for the Florida Gators offense, but i expect him to take some time shaking off some rust. The Missouri offense is putrid and the Florida defense will put a clamp on them early. I’m expecting a close, ugly game. 24 – 17 Florida.
The pick: Under 49 Points (1 Unit)
Ohio State (-11) @ Wisconsin
JT Barrett is an under the radar Heisman trophy candidate this year (not saying we didn’t tell you so before the year started, but we did). Urban Meyer has shown he can get this team ready to play on the road in hostile environments. Earlier this year this team went into Norman, Oklahoma and demolished a very good Oklahoma team. I’m expecting these young, but talented Buckeyes to run away with this one. Wisconsin has a great defense, but OSU should be able to still drop in their fair share of points. What makes this game a play is the ability of the OSU rushing defense. They are an extremely underrated unit and Wisconsin’s offense is absolutely nothing to write home about. Ohio State wins this game by 17-20 and shows that they are the team to beat in the Big 10. Michigan Who?
The pick: Ohio State -10.5 (1.5 Units)
The Leans:
Clemson -10 1H
Kansas State +11.5
Indiana +3.5
Texas Tech +2.5